Morning Miami Weather Report

Miami, October 5 — Mostly Sunny

Automated weather summary from official sources; factual templates with validated source timestamps. Follow NWS Miami and NHC for current guidance.

Manual setup preview. These are real source data from the publication time below.

Report date: 2026-10-05 · Published Oct 5, 2026 · 5:41 PM EDT

Forecast for Miami / Brickell

This Afternoon: 88°F. Mostly Sunny. Wind 8 mph SE. Rain chance: 6%.

Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Heat index values as high as 100. Southeast wind around 8 mph.

Forecast issued Oct 5, 2026 · 4:31 PM EDT. Forecast values, not observed conditions.

Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 79. South wind 2 to 7 mph.

Hourly forecast — rain chances and timing
Eastern timeTemperatureRain chanceWindForecast
Oct 5, 2026 · 5:00 PM EDT86°F6%8 mph SEMostly Sunny
Oct 5, 2026 · 6:00 PM EDT86°F8%7 mph SEPartly Cloudy
Oct 5, 2026 · 7:00 PM EDT85°F8%5 mph SEPartly Cloudy
Oct 5, 2026 · 8:00 PM EDT83°F11%5 mph SEPartly Cloudy
Oct 5, 2026 · 9:00 PM EDT83°F11%3 mph SEPartly Cloudy
Oct 5, 2026 · 10:00 PM EDT83°F11%3 mph SEMostly Cloudy
Oct 5, 2026 · 11:00 PM EDT83°F9%3 mph SEMostly Cloudy

Observed nearby

Miami International Airport (KMIA), Oct 5, 2026 · 5:20 PM EDT: Mostly Clear. Temperature 88°F; wind 9 mph. This airport observation does not measure conditions at your exact location in Brickell.

Alerts and outdoor plans

Miami / Brickell: no active alerts returned by the official query at collection time. This is not a statement that conditions are safe.

Biscayne Bay and the Miami-Dade coast: no active alerts returned by the official query at collection time. This is not a statement that conditions are safe.

Running: Use the temperature, rain and wind forecast above to plan your window. If thunderstorms are forecast or you hear thunder, postpone outdoor activity and seek a substantial building. This briefing does not certify a safe running window.

Paddleboarding — official Biscayne Bay forecast

Tonight: SE winds around 5 kt (6 mph). Smooth.

Tue: S winds around 5 kt (6 mph). Smooth.

Tue Night: SW winds around 5 kt (6 mph). Smooth.

Wind speeds in the source use knots (1 knot = 1.151 mph). Check current marine alerts and local conditions before launching; no safe launch window is inferred.

Official coastal Miami-Dade beach and rip-current guidance
FLZ173-061000-
Coastal Miami-Dade-
Including the beaches of Miami
431 PM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026

.REST OF TODAY...
Rip Current Risk*...........Low. 
Surf Height.................1 foot or less. 
Thunderstorm Potential**....None. 
Water Temperature...........In the mid 80s. 
Weather.....................Mostly sunny. 
High Temperature............In the upper 80s. 
Max Heat Index..............Up to 100. 
Winds.......................Southeast winds around 5 mph. 
Tides...
   Miami Harbor Entrance....High at 05:17 PM EDT. 
Sunrise.....................7:14 AM. 
Sunset......................7:04 PM.

.TUESDAY...
Rip Current Risk*...........Low. 
Surf Height.................1 foot or less. 
Thunderstorm Potential**....Moderate. 
Weather.....................Mostly sunny. A chance of showers and 
                            thunderstorms. 
High Temperature............In the upper 80s. 
Max Heat Index..............Up to 100. 
Winds.......................Southwest winds around 5 mph, becoming 
                            southeast in the afternoon. 
Tides...
   Miami Harbor Entrance....Low at 11:35 AM EDT. 
Sunrise.....................7:15 AM. 
Sunset......................7:03 PM.

&&

Rip Current Risk Category
* Low Risk - The risk for rip currents is low, however,
life-threatening rip currents often occur in the vicinity of groins,
jetties, reefs, and piers.
* Moderate Risk - Life-threatening rip currents are possible in the
surf zone.
* High Risk - Life-threatening rip currents are likely in the surf
zone.

** For thunderstorm, waterspout, and UV definitions see:
https://www.weather.gov/beach/mfl

Satellite and radar

Archived frames show what the instruments captured at their labeled times. Radar echoes can include non-rain returns. No movement or future arrival is inferred automatically from these frames.

Southeast GeoColor satellite

GeoColor shows the Southeast, including Florida. The timestamped sequence below preserves cloud detail without automatically interpreting cloud cover at street level.

Southeast GeoColor satellite at Oct 5, 2026 · 5:31 PM EDT; open full-size image for map and legend
Oct 5, 2026 · 5:31 PM EDT · CIRA/NOAA · GOES-19 Southeast GeoColor · Original source · Open full size
Earlier timestamped frames
Southeast GeoColor satellite at Oct 5, 2026 · 5:06 PM EDT; open full-size image for map and legend
Oct 5, 2026 · 5:06 PM EDT · CIRA/NOAA · GOES-19 Southeast GeoColor · Original source · Open full size
Southeast GeoColor satellite at Oct 5, 2026 · 4:36 PM EDT; open full-size image for map and legend
Oct 5, 2026 · 4:36 PM EDT · CIRA/NOAA · GOES-19 Southeast GeoColor · Original source · Open full size

Detailed Miami radar — official KAMX fallback

Colored reflectivity echoes are concentrated west of Miami, northwest of Miami relative to Miami in the latest frame. These are echo locations, not confirmation of rain at the surface.

Detailed Miami radar — official KAMX fallback at Oct 5, 2026 · 5:39 PM EDT; open full-size image for map and legend
Oct 5, 2026 · 5:39 PM EDT · NOAA/NWS radar and map reference · Composed by Noland; timestamp and original legend retained · Original source · Open full size
Earlier timestamped frames
Detailed Miami radar — official KAMX fallback at Oct 5, 2026 · 5:27 PM EDT; open full-size image for map and legend
Oct 5, 2026 · 5:27 PM EDT · NOAA/NWS radar and map reference · Composed by Noland; timestamp and original legend retained · Original source · Open full size
Detailed Miami radar — official KAMX fallback at Oct 5, 2026 · 5:13 PM EDT; open full-size image for map and legend
Oct 5, 2026 · 5:13 PM EDT · NOAA/NWS radar and map reference · Composed by Noland; timestamp and original legend retained · Original source · Open full size

Regional South Florida radar

Colored reflectivity echoes are concentrated northwest of Miami, west of Miami relative to Miami in the latest frame. These are echo locations, not confirmation of rain at the surface.

Regional South Florida radar at Oct 5, 2026 · 5:38 PM EDT; open full-size image for map and legend
Oct 5, 2026 · 5:38 PM EDT · NOAA/NWS radar and map reference · Composed by Noland; timestamp and original legend retained · Original source · Open full size
Earlier timestamped frames
Regional South Florida radar at Oct 5, 2026 · 5:26 PM EDT; open full-size image for map and legend
Oct 5, 2026 · 5:26 PM EDT · NOAA/NWS radar and map reference · Composed by Noland; timestamp and original legend retained · Original source · Open full size
Regional South Florida radar at Oct 5, 2026 · 5:12 PM EDT; open full-size image for map and legend
Oct 5, 2026 · 5:12 PM EDT · NOAA/NWS radar and map reference · Composed by Noland; timestamp and original legend retained · Original source · Open full size

NWS Miami morning briefing

Authorized X API access is not configured; using the NWS fallback.

NWS fallback: This briefing uses the official Miami point forecast, alert queries, and the forecast discussion when available. It does not imply that an X morning post was retrieved.

Tropical outlook

Issued Oct 5, 2026 · 1:29 PM EDT · Official source

The Atlantic outlook describes development potential, not a forecast of impacts in Miami. No local hurricane impact is inferred here.

NHC Atlantic seven-day outlook; issuance timestamp and probability legend embedded in graphic
NOAA / NHC. Outlook feed issuance; graphic’s own timestamp is embedded in the original image. Open full size
Read official source text
000
ABNT20 KNHC 051728
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Southwestern Gulf of America (AL92):
A trough of low pressure over the southwestern Gulf of America is 
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although 
environmental conditions appear to be marginally conducive, gradual 
development is becoming more likely, and a tropical depression is 
expected to form during the middle portion of the week. This system 
is expected to drift eastward over the next couple of days, before 
it turns northward. It is too early to determine the specific 
impacts to the northern Gulf Coast, but interests there should 
closely monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Miami forecast discussion

Issued Oct 5, 2026 · 3:11 PM EDT · Official source

Read official source text
000
FXUS62 KMFL 051911
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
311 PM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 309 PM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026

 - Showers and thunderstorms today will likely favor interior
   areas of South Florida. 

 - Excessive rainfall chances increase this week as a frontal 
   boundary stalls across central Florida.

 - Higher-than-normal high tides return with the new moon later
   this week

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Tuesday)
Issued at 309 PM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026

An area of low pressure is proceeding eastward across eastern Canada 
early this week. An associated frontal boundary extends from the 
Maritimes south off the east coast of the United States across 
northern Florida into the northern Gulf of Mexico. With the frontal 
boundary moving south, it will serve as a focusing agent for 
abundant tropical moisture which will enable to potential for more 
widespread convective coverage. Another factor will be the 
lightening easterly flow with the surface wind flow becoming more 
southerly to southwesterly. This could enable repeated south to 
north storm motions across portions of South Florida and potentially 
pin any Atlantic sea breeze closer to the coast if the western 
component to the wind flow develops.

The Weather Prediction Center has extended the Day 2 Excessive 
Rainfall Outlook for Tuesday further south to include the Lake 
Okeechobee region and portions of urban Palm Beach and Broward 
Counties. Many portions of the area, particularly portions of metro 
Palm Beach and Broward Counties already have antecedent saturation 
from previous rainfall last week.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 309 PM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026

As we head into the middle of the week, the area grows in the Day 3 
ERO for Wednesday to include most of South Florida from the Tamiami 
Trail/US 41 corridor northward. The trough that had helped propel 
the frontal boundary south early in the week will eject into the 
Atlantic which will cause the boundary to settle somewhere over the 
central to south central peninsula of Florida. Saturation from 
antecedent rainfall events, slower drainage along the coast due to 
higher than normal high tides with the new moon, and the potential 
for several rounds of excessive rainfall require monitoring of the 
forecast through the week.

This all stands independent of an area in the southwestern Gulf that 
the National Hurricane Center is monitoring. This afternoon's 
Tropical Weather Outlook currently has a 60% chance of development 
through 48 hours and an 80% chance of development through the next 7 
days. It is too early to know the precise impacts from this 
potential disturbance, but several guidance suites allow the frontal 
boundary to remain somewhere around the central peninsula of Florida 
with abundant tropical moisture capable of producing excessive 
rainfall through at least late in the week. 

Atlantic high pressure building in, the potential development, and 
then movement of the disturbance introduce some potential for the 
frontal boundary to retreat northward this weekend but a plume of 
moisture from the Caribbean could follow which could keep the rain 
around a bit longer. There is some consensus on the potential for a 
pocket of drier air to move into South Florida from the east along 
with the high shifting closer to the Bahamas for Sunday. It's still 
too early to take complete stock in the extended forecast, but the 
current trends do appear to remain wet with the potential for a few 
windows of excessive rainfall through the week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 139 PM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026

Generally VFR through the period though some brief bouts of sub-
VFR is possible with showers and storms. ESE 7-11 kt wind flow
this afternoon will become lighter and more directionally variable
overnight. A more southerly flow will emerge for Tuesday except at
APF which will be more southwesterly to westerly with the onshore
Gulf breeze.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 309 PM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026

The moderate to fresh east southeasterly flow will weaken and 
could become southerly to southwesterly during the forecast 
period as a frontal boundary approaches central Florida. 
Increasing showers and thunderstorms are expected through the 
forecast period, with periods of gusty winds and rough seas 
accompanying any thunderstorm that forms. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            77  89  76  89 /  10  40  30  80 
West Kendall     76  89  75  89 /  10  40  20  80 
Opa-Locka        77  90  76  89 /  10  40  30  80 
Homestead        77  89  76  89 /  10  30  20  70 
Fort Lauderdale  77  89  76  89 /  20  40  30  80 
N Ft Lauderdale  77  89  76  89 /  20  40  30  90 
Pembroke Pines   76  89  75  89 /  10  40  30  80 
West Palm Beach  76  89  74  89 /  20  50  40  90 
Boca Raton       76  89  75  89 /  20  40  40  90 
Naples           75  87  75  86 /  30  30  30  70 

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RAG
LONG TERM....RAG
AVIATION...RAG

Sources and freshness

Supplementary failures do not replace missing data with reassuring conclusions. All source times below are Eastern; source metadata and original downloads are archived with this report.

Alerts · available

Source. Retrieved Oct 5, 2026 · 5:41 PM EDT.

Beach · available

Source. Retrieved Oct 5, 2026 · 5:41 PM EDT. Issued Oct 5, 2026 · 4:31 PM EDT.

Coastal Alerts · available

Source. Retrieved Oct 5, 2026 · 5:41 PM EDT.

Discussion · available

Source. Retrieved Oct 5, 2026 · 5:41 PM EDT. Issued Oct 5, 2026 · 3:11 PM EDT.

Forecast · available

Source. Retrieved Oct 5, 2026 · 5:41 PM EDT. Issued Oct 5, 2026 · 4:31 PM EDT.

Hourly · available

Source. Retrieved Oct 5, 2026 · 5:41 PM EDT. Issued Oct 5, 2026 · 4:31 PM EDT.

Local Radar · available

Source. Retrieved Oct 5, 2026 · 5:41 PM EDT. Issued Oct 5, 2026 · 5:39 PM EDT.

Marine · available

Source. Retrieved Oct 5, 2026 · 5:41 PM EDT. Issued Oct 5, 2026 · 4:16 PM EDT.

Mcnoldy · unavailable

Source. Retrieved Oct 5, 2026 · 5:41 PM EDT. URLError: transport or certificate failure

Nhc · available

Source. Retrieved Oct 5, 2026 · 5:41 PM EDT. Issued Oct 5, 2026 · 1:29 PM EDT.

Nws X · unavailable

Source. Retrieved not retrieved. Authorized X API access is not configured; using the NWS fallback.

Observation · available

Source. Retrieved Oct 5, 2026 · 5:41 PM EDT. Issued Oct 5, 2026 · 5:20 PM EDT.

Regional Radar · available

Source. Retrieved Oct 5, 2026 · 5:41 PM EDT. Issued Oct 5, 2026 · 5:38 PM EDT.

Satellite · available

Source. Retrieved Oct 5, 2026 · 5:41 PM EDT. Issued Oct 5, 2026 · 5:31 PM EDT.

Tropical Tidbits · link-only

Source. Retrieved Oct 5, 2026 · 5:41 PM EDT. Optional context only. Imagery is not copied: Tropical Tidbits reserves reuse rights.

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