Morning Miami Weather Report
Miami, October 7 — Mostly Sunny then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Automated weather summary from official sources; factual templates with validated source timestamps. Follow NWS Miami and NHC for current guidance.
Forecast for Miami / Brickell
Today: 88°F. Mostly Sunny then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms. Wind 6 to 12 mph S. Rain chance: 57%.
A chance of showers and thunderstorms between noon and 5pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Heat index values as high as 101. South wind 6 to 12 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 79. Southwest wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Hourly forecast — rain chances and timing
| Eastern time | Temperature | Rain chance | Wind | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 · 9:00 AM EDT | 82°F | 9% | 6 mph S | Mostly Sunny |
| Oct 7, 2026 · 10:00 AM EDT | 85°F | 10% | 8 mph S | Mostly Sunny |
| Oct 7, 2026 · 11:00 AM EDT | 86°F | 11% | 8 mph S | Mostly Sunny |
| Oct 7, 2026 · 12:00 PM EDT | 86°F | 15% | 9 mph S | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 7, 2026 · 1:00 PM EDT | 86°F | 19% | 10 mph S | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 7, 2026 · 2:00 PM EDT | 86°F | 33% | 12 mph S | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 7, 2026 · 3:00 PM EDT | 87°F | 48% | 12 mph S | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 7, 2026 · 4:00 PM EDT | 86°F | 51% | 10 mph S | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 7, 2026 · 5:00 PM EDT | 85°F | 57% | 9 mph S | Showers And Thunderstorms Likely |
| Oct 7, 2026 · 6:00 PM EDT | 84°F | 52% | 8 mph S | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 7, 2026 · 7:00 PM EDT | 83°F | 47% | 6 mph S | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 7, 2026 · 8:00 PM EDT | 82°F | 35% | 6 mph SW | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 7, 2026 · 9:00 PM EDT | 82°F | 23% | 5 mph SW | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 7, 2026 · 10:00 PM EDT | 82°F | 23% | 5 mph SW | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 7, 2026 · 11:00 PM EDT | 82°F | 22% | 5 mph W | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
Observed nearby
Miami International Airport (KMIA), Oct 7, 2026 · 9:40 AM EDT: Clear. Temperature 84°F; wind 7 mph. This airport observation does not measure conditions at your exact location in Brickell.
Alerts and outdoor plans
Do not drive through flooded roadways.
Do not drive through flooded roadways.
Running: Use the temperature, rain and wind forecast above to plan your window. If thunderstorms are forecast or you hear thunder, postpone outdoor activity and seek a substantial building. This briefing does not certify a safe running window.
Paddleboarding — official Biscayne Bay forecast
Today: S winds 5 to 10 kt (12 mph). Light chop. A chance of showers and tstms this afternoon.
Tonight: SW winds 5 to 10 kt (12 mph), diminishing to around 5 kt (6 mph) after midnight. Light chop. A chance of showers and tstms early in the evening.
Thu: SW winds around 5 kt (6 mph), becoming S in the afternoon. Light chop. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Wind speeds in the source use knots (1 knot = 1.151 mph). Check current marine alerts and local conditions before launching; no safe launch window is inferred.
Official coastal Miami-Dade beach and rip-current guidance
FLZ173-072200-
Coastal Miami-Dade-
Including the beaches of Miami
421 AM EDT Wed Oct 7 2026
.TODAY...
Rip Current Risk*...........Low.
Surf Height.................1 foot or less.
Thunderstorm Potential**....Moderate.
Waterspout Risk**...........None.
UV Index**..................Very High.
Water Temperature...........In the mid 80s.
Weather.....................Partly sunny. Showers likely and a
chance of thunderstorms.
High Temperature............In the upper 80s.
Max Heat Index..............Up to 103.
Winds.......................South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Tides...
Miami Harbor Entrance....High at 06:39 AM EDT.
Low at 12:30 PM EDT.
Sunrise.....................7:15 AM.
Sunset......................7:02 PM.
.THURSDAY...
Rip Current Risk*...........Low.
Surf Height.................1 foot or less.
Thunderstorm Potential**....Moderate.
Waterspout Risk**...........None.
Weather.....................Mostly sunny. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
High Temperature............In the upper 80s.
Max Heat Index..............Up to 101.
Winds.......................South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Tides...
Miami Harbor Entrance....High at 07:32 AM EDT.
Low at 01:20 PM EDT.
Sunrise.....................7:16 AM.
Sunset......................7:01 PM.
&&
Rip Current Risk Category
* Low Risk - The risk for rip currents is low, however,
life-threatening rip currents often occur in the vicinity of groins,
jetties, reefs, and piers.
* Moderate Risk - Life-threatening rip currents are possible in the
surf zone.
* High Risk - Life-threatening rip currents are likely in the surf
zone.
** For thunderstorm, waterspout, and UV definitions see:
https://www.weather.gov/beach/mflSatellite and radar
Archived frames show what the instruments captured at their labeled times. Radar echoes can include non-rain returns. No movement or future arrival is inferred automatically from these frames.
Southeast GeoColor satellite
GeoColor shows the Southeast, including Florida. The timestamped sequence below preserves cloud detail without automatically interpreting cloud cover at street level.
Earlier timestamped frames
Detailed Miami radar — official KAMX fallback
Colored reflectivity echoes are concentrated north of Miami relative to Miami in the latest frame. These are echo locations, not confirmation of rain at the surface.
Earlier timestamped frames
Regional South Florida radar
Colored reflectivity echoes are concentrated northwest of Miami, north of Miami, northeast of Miami relative to Miami in the latest frame. These are echo locations, not confirmation of rain at the surface.
Earlier timestamped frames
Tropical outlook
The Atlantic outlook describes development potential, not a forecast of impacts in Miami. No local hurricane impact is inferred here.
Read official source text
000 ABNT20 KNHC 071136 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Wed Oct 7 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Isaias, located in the southwestern Gulf of America. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Isais are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Isaias are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Miami forecast discussion
Read official source text
000 FXUS62 KMFL 071046 AFDMFL Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 646 AM EDT Wed Oct 7 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 643 AM EDT Wed Oct 7 2026 - Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop across the region today and Thursday as a frontal boundary remains stalled out just to the north. - High rainfall rates combined with the possibility of multiple rounds of heavy downpours could increase the potential of localized flooding especially over the east coast metro areas. - Minor coastal flooding will be possible across the coastal areas during each high tide cycle during the second half of the week and into the upcoming weekend due to the next round of King Tides. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Thursday) Issued at 220 AM EDT Wed Oct 7 2026 A broad mid level trough extending into the Southeast portion of the country and into the northern Gulf today will gradually begin to slide into the western Atlantic tonight into Thursday. This trough will continue to keep mid level ridging to the east of the region in the Atlantic today, however, the western periphery of this ridge will slowly start to build towards South Florida tonight into Thursday. At the surface, a weakening frontal boundary will remain stalled out just to the north of the region throughout today and into a good portion of Thursday. At the same time, Tropical Depression Nine will continue to get better organized in the Southwestern Gulf as it slowly move east northeastward today into Thursday. The stalled out frontal boundary to the north will allow for deep layer moisture to pool over South Florida throughout today as a south to southwesterly wind flow sets up across the region during this time frame. This will allow for PWAT values to range from around 2.1 inches across the extreme southern portion of the region to 2.4 inches across the Lake Okeechobee region and Palm Beach County which will be closer to the front. With an abundance of moisture in place, showers and thunderstorms will gradually develop across the region today and they become more widespread heading into the afternoon and evening hours. Since the best dynamics and instability will be located further up to the northeast, chances for strong thunderstorm development will remain on the lower end, however, they cannot be entirely ruled out especially across the Lake Okeechobee region. The primary hazard that will be more concerning with convection today will be heavy downpours with high rainfall rates, as well as the potential for multiple rounds of heavy downpours moving over already saturated areas. With the enhanced rainfall rates, it would not be out of the question that stronger thunderstorms could drop a quick and localized 2-3 inches of rain over a short period of time this afternoon and this evening. This type of rainfall could create the potential for localized flooding, especially across the Lake Okeechobee region and east coast metro areas with the steering flow remaining light out of the south southwest. Similar conditions are anticipated on Thursday across the region as the weakening frontal boundary remains stalled out over Central Florida for a good portion of the day which will keep the south to southwesterly wind flow in place. This will also keep the east coast sea breeze pinned over the metro areas along with ample deep layer moisture in place through most of the day for higher end chances of showers and thunderstorms. The combination of slow storm motion along with high rainfall rates will allow for localized flooding to remain possible especially across the Lake Okeechobee region as well as the east coast metro areas on Thursday. High temperatures will generally remain in the upper 80s to around 90 across most of the region for both today and Thursday. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 220 AM EDT Wed Oct 7 2026 Heading into Friday and the upcoming weekend, mid level ridging over the western Atlantic will gradually strengthen as it pushes westward and continues to build over South Florida. At the surface, what is currently Tropical Depression Nine will continue to strengthen as it turns and moves northward towards the northern Gulf Coast Friday into Saturday. While this system will remain far off to the northwest and will not have any direct impacts on South Florida, it will help to lift the frontal boundary that has been stalled out over South Florida northward beginning on Friday. Winds will then shift and become southeasterly on Friday, however, they will gradually increase heading into Friday night and Saturday as the pressure gradient quickly tightens across the region. The uncertainty in the forecast rises a bit heading into Friday and Saturday as the frontal boundary gets lifted off to the north of the region. Even though this front gets lifted northward, the enhanced south southeasterly wind flow both at the surface and aloft could help to drag in some deep layer tropical moisture over the region from the Carribean Sea. This may keep the chances of showers and thunderstorms elevated across the region on Friday and Saturday. While the general motion of showers and thunderstorms will increase during this time frame, the potential for high rainfall rates will continue keeping the chances for localized flooding in place as well. The timing this moisture increase also plays a role into the uncertainty as some of the guidance is a bit slower in bringing this area of moisture northward on Friday. If this slower scenario were to play out, Friday may end up being more of a typical late rainy season type day with higher chances of showers and storms being focused over the interior and Southwest Florida instead of the entire area. In any event, the main takeaway here is that even though the frontal boundary will be dragged further to the north, the wet and unsettled pattern may last into the first part of the weekend due to the increase in deep layer tropical moisture trying to push over the region. This will continue to be monitored as the week progresses. Heading into the second half of the weekend and into early next week, the guidance remains in relatively good agreement with showing strong mid level ridging expanding over the Florida Peninsula and into the Gulf during this time frame. This will allow for drier conditions to push into the area which will result in a return to more of a typical late wet season type pattern across the region as winds begin to decrease and become east southeasterly. Chances of showers and thunderstorms will still remain in place, however, they will become more scattered in nature and they will favor the interior and Southwest Florida during the afternoon and evening hours. High temperatures during the second half of the weekend and into the early next week could be above climatological normals due to the strengthening mid level ridge building into the region. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 643 AM EDT Wed Oct 7 2026 Light and variable winds early this morning. Tricky wind forecast this afternoon as the east coast sea breeze will briefly kick in early in the afternoon but convection will be expected to develop around the same time which will likely cause erratic winds and brief flight restrictions. Have TEMPO's in at the east coast terminals for mid afternoon, but may have to amend once the timing of convection comes into more focus. && .MARINE... Issued at 220 AM EDT Wed Oct 7 2026 A gentle to moderate south southwesterly breeze will remain in place across most of the local waters through Thursday. Seas across the Gulf waters will remain at 2 feet or less during this time frame, while seas across the Atlantic waters will build and range between 3 to 5 feet today and Thursday as a northeasterly swell develops. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop across all local waters each day as a frontal boundary remains stalled out to the north of the region. && .BEACHES... Issued at 220 AM EDT Wed Oct 7 2026 A moderate risk of rip currents will develop across the Palm Beaches today and this risk could potentially become high on Thursday as a northeasterly swell continues to develop. Minor coastal flooding will be possible across the coastal areas during each high tide cycle heading towards the second half of the week and into the upcoming weekend. This is due to the next round of King Tides associated with the upcoming new moon. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Miami 90 77 89 78 / 60 40 70 20 West Kendall 89 76 89 77 / 60 30 60 10 Opa-Locka 90 76 89 77 / 70 40 70 20 Homestead 90 76 89 77 / 40 30 40 10 Fort Lauderdale 89 76 88 77 / 70 40 70 20 N Ft Lauderdale 89 76 88 77 / 70 50 70 30 Pembroke Pines 89 76 89 77 / 70 40 70 20 West Palm Beach 89 74 88 75 / 80 60 80 40 Boca Raton 89 75 88 76 / 70 50 80 30 Naples 87 75 87 75 / 70 60 60 40 && .MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...CWC LONG TERM....CWC AVIATION...CMF
Sources and freshness
Supplementary failures do not replace missing data with reassuring conclusions. All source times below are Eastern; source metadata and original downloads are archived with this report.
Alerts · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 7, 2026 · 9:54 AM EDT.
Beach · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 7, 2026 · 9:54 AM EDT. Issued Oct 7, 2026 · 4:21 AM EDT.
Coastal Alerts · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 7, 2026 · 9:54 AM EDT.
Discussion · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 7, 2026 · 9:54 AM EDT. Issued Oct 7, 2026 · 6:46 AM EDT.
Forecast · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 7, 2026 · 9:54 AM EDT. Issued Oct 7, 2026 · 8:31 AM EDT.
Hourly · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 7, 2026 · 9:54 AM EDT. Issued Oct 7, 2026 · 8:31 AM EDT.
Local Radar · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 7, 2026 · 9:54 AM EDT. Issued Oct 7, 2026 · 9:35 AM EDT.
Marine · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 7, 2026 · 9:54 AM EDT. Issued Oct 7, 2026 · 4:06 AM EDT.
Mcnoldy · unavailable
Source. Retrieved Oct 7, 2026 · 9:54 AM EDT. URLError: transport or certificate failure
Nhc · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 7, 2026 · 9:54 AM EDT. Issued Oct 7, 2026 · 7:37 AM EDT.
Observation · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 7, 2026 · 9:54 AM EDT. Issued Oct 7, 2026 · 9:40 AM EDT.
Regional Radar · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 7, 2026 · 9:54 AM EDT. Issued Oct 7, 2026 · 9:52 AM EDT.
Satellite · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 7, 2026 · 9:54 AM EDT. Issued Oct 7, 2026 · 9:46 AM EDT.
Tropical Tidbits · not-used
Source. Retrieved not retrieved. No current tropical context requiring this supplementary source, or the NHC input is unavailable.