Morning Miami Weather Report
Miami, October 10 — Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Automated weather summary from official sources; factual templates with validated source timestamps. Follow NWS Miami and NHC for current guidance.
Late report: current weather data were collected at the publication time below, rather than early this morning.
Forecast for Miami / Brickell
Today: 89°F. Chance Showers And Thunderstorms. Wind 14 to 17 mph S. Rain chance: 41%.
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Heat index values as high as 105. South wind 14 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 83. Heat index values as high as 101. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Hourly forecast — rain chances and timing
| Eastern time | Temperature | Rain chance | Wind | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 · 10:00 AM EDT | 86°F | 21% | 16 mph S | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 10, 2026 · 11:00 AM EDT | 87°F | 23% | 16 mph S | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 10, 2026 · 12:00 PM EDT | 88°F | 26% | 16 mph S | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 10, 2026 · 1:00 PM EDT | 87°F | 30% | 17 mph S | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 10, 2026 · 2:00 PM EDT | 87°F | 34% | 16 mph S | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 10, 2026 · 3:00 PM EDT | 87°F | 33% | 16 mph S | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM EDT | 88°F | 31% | 15 mph S | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 10, 2026 · 5:00 PM EDT | 87°F | 41% | 14 mph S | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 10, 2026 · 6:00 PM EDT | 87°F | 37% | 13 mph SE | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 10, 2026 · 7:00 PM EDT | 86°F | 25% | 12 mph SE | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 10, 2026 · 8:00 PM EDT | 85°F | 21% | 10 mph SE | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 10, 2026 · 9:00 PM EDT | 85°F | 18% | 12 mph SE | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 10, 2026 · 10:00 PM EDT | 85°F | 19% | 12 mph SE | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 10, 2026 · 11:00 PM EDT | 85°F | 20% | 12 mph SE | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
Observed nearby
Miami International Airport (KMIA), Oct 10, 2026 · 10:30 AM EDT: Mostly Clear. Temperature 88°F; wind 10 mph. This airport observation does not measure conditions at your exact location in Brickell.
Alerts and outdoor plans
Do not drive through flooded roadways.
Do not drive through flooded roadways.
Running: Use the temperature, rain and wind forecast above to plan your window. If thunderstorms are forecast or you hear thunder, postpone outdoor activity and seek a substantial building. This briefing does not certify a safe running window.
Paddleboarding — official Biscayne Bay forecast
Today: S winds 10 to 15 kt (17 mph) with gusts up to 20 kt (23 mph). A moderate chop. A slight chance of tstms this morning. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms this afternoon.
Tonight: SE winds 5 to 10 kt (12 mph), increasing to 10 to 15 kt (17 mph) after midnight. A moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms early in the evening. A chance of showers after midnight.
Sun: SE winds 10 to 15 kt (17 mph), diminishing to 5 to 10 kt (12 mph) in the afternoon. A moderate chop.
Wind speeds in the source use knots (1 knot = 1.151 mph). Check current marine alerts and local conditions before launching; no safe launch window is inferred.
Official coastal Miami-Dade beach and rip-current guidance
FLZ173-102200-
Coastal Miami-Dade-
Including the beaches of Miami
407 AM EDT Sat Oct 10 2026
.TODAY...
Rip Current Risk*...........Moderate.
Surf Height.................1 foot or less.
Thunderstorm Potential**....Moderate.
Waterspout Risk**...........None.
UV Index**..................Very High.
Water Temperature...........In the mid 80s.
Weather.....................Mostly sunny. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
High Temperature............Around 90.
Max Heat Index..............Up to 108.
Winds.......................South winds around 15 mph.
Tides...
Miami Harbor Entrance....High at 09:04 AM EDT.
Low at 02:48 PM EDT.
Sunrise.....................7:17 AM.
Sunset......................6:59 PM.
.SUNDAY...
Rip Current Risk*...........Moderate.
Surf Height.................1 to 2 feet.
Thunderstorm Potential**....Low.
Waterspout Risk**...........None.
Weather.....................Mostly sunny. A slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
High Temperature............Around 90.
Max Heat Index..............Up to 106.
Winds.......................Southeast winds around 10 mph.
Tides...
Miami Harbor Entrance....High at 09:45 AM EDT.
Low at 03:29 PM EDT.
Sunrise.....................7:17 AM.
Sunset......................6:58 PM.
&&
Rip Current Risk Category
* Low Risk - The risk for rip currents is low, however,
life-threatening rip currents often occur in the vicinity of groins,
jetties, reefs, and piers.
* Moderate Risk - Life-threatening rip currents are possible in the
surf zone.
* High Risk - Life-threatening rip currents are likely in the surf
zone.
** For thunderstorm, waterspout, and UV definitions see:
https://www.weather.gov/beach/mflSatellite and radar
Archived frames show what the instruments captured at their labeled times. Radar echoes can include non-rain returns. No movement or future arrival is inferred automatically from these frames.
Southeast GeoColor satellite
GeoColor shows the Southeast, including Florida. The timestamped sequence below preserves cloud detail without automatically interpreting cloud cover at street level.
Earlier timestamped frames
Detailed Miami radar — official KAMX fallback
Colored reflectivity echoes are concentrated west of Miami relative to Miami in the latest frame. These are echo locations, not confirmation of rain at the surface.
Earlier timestamped frames
Regional South Florida radar
Colored reflectivity echoes are concentrated northwest of Miami, northeast of Miami, west of Miami relative to Miami in the latest frame. These are echo locations, not confirmation of rain at the surface.
Earlier timestamped frames
Tropical outlook
The Atlantic outlook describes development potential, not a forecast of impacts in Miami. No local hurricane impact is inferred here.
Read official source text
000 ABNT20 KNHC 101143 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Oct 10 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center has issued its last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaias, located inland over central Alabama. Future advisories will be issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning at 10 am CDT. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Berg
Miami forecast discussion
Read official source text
000
FXUS62 KMFL 101050
AFDMFL
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
650 AM EDT Sat Oct 10 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 649 AM EDT Sat Oct 10 2026
- Minor coastal flooding will remain possible during periods of
high tide across all coastal areas of South Florida through
Sunday morning.
- Breezy onshore winds will keep a threat of dangerous rip
currents at all area beaches today, with the greatest risk
along the coast of Collier and Palm Beach counties.
- Hazardous to cautionary marine conditions will continue across
the local waters of South Florida today before winds subside
overnight into early Sunday.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 347 AM EDT Sat Oct 10 2026
07z RTMA in tandem with GOES mid-level water vapor imagery reveal
that South Florida is located in the center of quite the active
atmospheric pattern in our geographical vicinity today. After making
landfall in the western Florida Panhandle earlier tonight, the
capture, elongation, and eventual alignment/absorption of the
residual vorticity of Isaias and the lobe of mid-level troughing
that is currently across the southern United States is occurring in
short order. To the east, mid-level ridging situated in the western
Atlantic continues to build into the region with 500mb observed
temperature values on the 00z MFL sounding residing between the 75th-
90th percentile for this time of year. Without getting into more
specific details about the additional features out there at the
moment (Hurricane Simon's outflow and the upper level low to our
south over the Caribbean), let's take a closer look at the more
important mechanisms behind our forecast for the remainder of the
weekend. The infusion of baroclinic dynamics and vorticity
elongation has resulted in Isaias becoming post-tropical in nature,
with an attendant warm front lifting further away from the Florida
Peninsula. However, even though we are now far removed from the
departing boundary, South Florida remains firmly in the warm sector
of the departing system which will feature breezy to at times gusty
southerly surface flow and ample moisture advection across South
Florida today. This continuation of breezy conditions is also in
large part due to an expansive surface ridge that remains in place
across the western Atlantic waters, facilitating a pressure gradient
across the region that will gradually relax tonight into early
Sunday. With Post Tropical Cyclone Isaias continuing to drift
northwards away from the region, an attendant frontal boundary is
forecast to gradually slide eastward across the Gulf today into
Sunday.
Continued southerly flow to the east of the frontal boundary will
continue to usher in deep tropical moisture (precipitable water
values of 2.0 to 2.2 inches), which will support coastal showers
along both the Atlantic and Gulf coasts this morning. A more robust
diurnal round of showers and storms is forecast to develop during
the afternoon and early evening hours. Diurnal heating may veer
southerly winds slightly onshore during the afternoon hours as a
meso low develops onshore in a classic sea-breeze pattern. A high
moisture, high instability environment will set the stage for
convection to develop along sea-breeze boundaries before background
southerly surface flow results in a foci of activity residing across
the northern half of the region (Palm Beach County and Lake
Okeechobee). Warm 500mb temperatures, meager low and mid-level lapse
rates, and mid-level ridging aloft will keep the threat of strong to
severe convection minimal. However, with such a deep warm cloud
layer and saturated atmospheric profile, a signal exists in
HREF/REFS guidance for an isolated swath of higher precipitation (2-
3") values this afternoon. Predictability remains low but mesoscale
paintball probabilities show the greatest odds of isolated higher
rainfall totals occurring to the east of Lake Okeechobee over
portions of Palm Beach County. If 2-3" inches of rainfall occurs
over an urban area in a short period of time, localized flooding
could be possible. Outside of the cooling influences of showers and
storms, it's going to be a warm, breezy, and muggy day across South
Florida with peak forecasted temperatures in the low 90s and heat
indices (apparent temperatures) forecast to reach the 100-105F
range.
A bit of a more challenging forecast on Sunday as a pocket of drier
air pushes into South Florida from the east as surface ridging
continues to enhance. However at the same time, the frontal boundary
(and deep moisture pooled along it) previously in place across the
Gulf will also slide southeastward across the peninsula. Uncertainty
remains high for the exact placement of the frontal boundary as well
as the timing/arrival of the pocket of drier air moving in across
the eastern half of the region. Fluctuations in the forecast remain
possible as the exact timing and placement of these features is not
set in stone. Regardless, the latest forecast features a gradient of
lower rain chances across the southeastern half of South Florida on
Sunday with a maxima in precipitation chances across southwestern
Florida and west of Lake Okeechobee. Convective parameters once
again appear lackluster with the main concern remaining isolated
swaths of 1-3" of rainfall in short periods of time. Temperatures
will trend lower closer to normal (mid to upper 80s) across the
northern half of the region, likely due to cloud cover and
convective initiation. Temperatures across the southern half of the
region will remain in the low 90s if the drier solution currently
depicted remains in the cards.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 347 AM EDT Sat Oct 10 2026
As a mid-level trough pushes offshore of the northeastern United
States, the stout mid-level ridge in place across the western
Atlantic waters will flatten and lose influence over our region by
Monday morning. The enhancement of a surface low offshore of the
northeastern United States will provide enough forcing for the
aforementioned frontal boundary across Central Florida and the Gulf
to slowly slide southward across South Florida during the day. With
all of the best dynamics now well removed from the region,
convective activity on Monday is forecast to be much more sparse in
nature. That being said, maximized ascent and residual moisture
along the boundary could still set the stage for some isolated to
scattered shower and thunderstorm activity. High temperatures on
Monday will rise into the upper 80s along the east coast to the
lower 90s across interior portions of Southwest Florida.
Heading towards Tuesday and Wednesday, a much drier air mass will
push into the region behind the front as high pressure builds back
into the area. This will keep chances of showers and storms
extremely limited during this time frame, and with the drier air and
lower dewpoints anticipated, there will be a noticeable drop in
humidity during the middle of the week. High temperatures on Tuesday
and Wednesday will still remain above climatological normals for
this time of year.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 649 AM EDT Sat Oct 10 2026
SE winds increasing today to around 10-15 kts with gusts around 20
kts. An afternoon SSW wind is expected at APF. Scattered showers
and thunderstorms may result in brief flight restrictions and
erratic winds.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 347 AM EDT Sat Oct 10 2026
Ongoing hazardous marine conditions will continue across the local
Gulf waters through this afternoon as a fresh to strong southerly
breeze gradually subsides. Across the Atlantic waters, a moderate
southerly breeze will remain in place today. This will maintain
cautionary conditions for all Atlantic waters before surface winds
across the Atlantic waters also lessens late in the day. Seas across
the Atlantic waters will generally range between 2-3 feet today into
Sunday while seas across the Gulf waters will reach up to 6-7 feet
today before decreasing into the 2-3 feet tomorrow. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms will be possible across all local waters
through the remainder of the weekend.
&&
.BEACHES...
Issued at 347 AM EDT Sat Oct 10 2026
As breezy onshore flow continues, a high risk of rip currents will
remain at all Collier and Palm Beach County beaches today. A
moderate risk of rip currents will continue across all other
Atlantic Coast beaches. Minor coastal flooding will remain possible
across all coastal locations of South Florida during each high tide
cycle today and for the remainder of the weekend due to King Tides
associated with the new moon.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami 91 80 91 78 / 40 30 20 10
West Kendall 91 79 91 77 / 30 30 20 10
Opa-Locka 91 80 91 78 / 40 30 20 10
Homestead 91 80 91 78 / 30 30 10 10
Fort Lauderdale 90 80 90 78 / 50 30 30 10
N Ft Lauderdale 91 80 90 78 / 50 30 30 10
Pembroke Pines 91 80 91 77 / 40 30 30 10
West Palm Beach 91 79 90 77 / 70 30 50 20
Boca Raton 90 80 90 77 / 60 30 30 10
Naples 89 78 88 76 / 50 50 60 20
&&
.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through this evening for FLZ069-168.
AM...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for GMZ656-
657-676.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Hadi
LONG TERM....Hadi
AVIATION...CMF
Sources and freshness
Supplementary failures do not replace missing data with reassuring conclusions. All source times below are Eastern; source metadata and original downloads are archived with this report.
Alerts · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 10, 2026 · 10:48 AM EDT.
Beach · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 10, 2026 · 10:48 AM EDT. Issued Oct 10, 2026 · 4:07 AM EDT.
Coastal Alerts · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 10, 2026 · 10:48 AM EDT.
Discussion · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 10, 2026 · 10:48 AM EDT. Issued Oct 10, 2026 · 6:50 AM EDT.
Forecast · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 10, 2026 · 10:48 AM EDT. Issued Oct 10, 2026 · 4:06 AM EDT.
Hourly · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 10, 2026 · 10:48 AM EDT. Issued Oct 10, 2026 · 4:06 AM EDT.
Local Radar · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 10, 2026 · 10:48 AM EDT. Issued Oct 10, 2026 · 10:47 AM EDT.
Marine · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 10, 2026 · 10:48 AM EDT. Issued Oct 10, 2026 · 4:06 AM EDT.
Mcnoldy · unavailable
Source. Retrieved Oct 10, 2026 · 10:48 AM EDT. URLError: transport or certificate failure
Nhc · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 10, 2026 · 10:48 AM EDT. Issued Oct 10, 2026 · 7:43 AM EDT.
Observation · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 10, 2026 · 10:48 AM EDT. Issued Oct 10, 2026 · 10:30 AM EDT.
Regional Radar · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 10, 2026 · 10:48 AM EDT. Issued Oct 10, 2026 · 10:46 AM EDT.
Satellite · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 10, 2026 · 10:48 AM EDT. Issued Oct 10, 2026 · 10:41 AM EDT.
Tropical Tidbits · not-used
Source. Retrieved not retrieved. No current tropical context requiring this supplementary source, or the NHC input is unavailable.