Morning Miami Weather Report
Miami, October 11 — Sunny
Automated weather summary from official sources; factual templates with validated source timestamps. Follow NWS Miami and NHC for current guidance.
Forecast for Miami / Brickell
Today: 89°F. Sunny. Wind 8 to 14 mph SE. Rain chance: 12%.
Sunny, with a high near 89. Heat index values as high as 106. Southeast wind 8 to 14 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 80. Heat index values as high as 101. East wind 3 to 7 mph.
Hourly forecast — rain chances and timing
| Eastern time | Temperature | Rain chance | Wind | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 · 10:00 AM EDT | 87°F | 3% | 12 mph SE | Sunny |
| Oct 11, 2026 · 11:00 AM EDT | 87°F | 3% | 12 mph SE | Sunny |
| Oct 11, 2026 · 12:00 PM EDT | 87°F | 4% | 12 mph SE | Sunny |
| Oct 11, 2026 · 1:00 PM EDT | 88°F | 4% | 10 mph SE | Sunny |
| Oct 11, 2026 · 2:00 PM EDT | 87°F | 8% | 10 mph SE | Sunny |
| Oct 11, 2026 · 3:00 PM EDT | 87°F | 9% | 10 mph SE | Sunny |
| Oct 11, 2026 · 4:00 PM EDT | 88°F | 12% | 9 mph SE | Sunny |
| Oct 11, 2026 · 5:00 PM EDT | 87°F | 12% | 8 mph SE | Sunny |
| Oct 11, 2026 · 6:00 PM EDT | 87°F | 10% | 7 mph SE | Mostly Clear |
| Oct 11, 2026 · 7:00 PM EDT | 86°F | 11% | 6 mph SE | Mostly Clear |
| Oct 11, 2026 · 8:00 PM EDT | 84°F | 10% | 6 mph SE | Mostly Clear |
| Oct 11, 2026 · 9:00 PM EDT | 84°F | 7% | 6 mph E | Mostly Clear |
| Oct 11, 2026 · 10:00 PM EDT | 84°F | 6% | 6 mph E | Mostly Clear |
| Oct 11, 2026 · 11:00 PM EDT | 84°F | 6% | 6 mph E | Mostly Clear |
Observed nearby
Miami International Airport (KMIA), Oct 11, 2026 · 9:55 AM EDT: Clear. Temperature 88°F; wind 8 mph. This airport observation does not measure conditions at your exact location in Brickell.
Alerts and outdoor plans
Coastal Flood Statement issued October 11 at 1:40AM EDT until October 12 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS Miami FL
Do not drive through flooded roadways.
Coastal Flood Statement issued October 11 at 1:40AM EDT until October 12 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS Miami FL
Do not drive through flooded roadways.
Running: Use the temperature, rain and wind forecast above to plan your window. If thunderstorms are forecast or you hear thunder, postpone outdoor activity and seek a substantial building. This briefing does not certify a safe running window.
Paddleboarding — official Biscayne Bay forecast
Today: SE winds 10 to 15 kt (17 mph), diminishing to 5 to 10 kt (12 mph) this afternoon. A moderate chop.
Tonight: E winds around 5 kt (6 mph). Smooth.
Mon: N winds 5 to 10 kt (12 mph), becoming NE 10 to 15 kt (17 mph) in the afternoon. A moderate chop.
Wind speeds in the source use knots (1 knot = 1.151 mph). Check current marine alerts and local conditions before launching; no safe launch window is inferred.
Official coastal Miami-Dade beach and rip-current guidance
FLZ173-112200-
Coastal Miami-Dade-
Including the beaches of Miami
426 AM EDT Sun Oct 11 2026
.TODAY...
Rip Current Risk*...........Low.
Surf Height.................1 to 2 feet.
Thunderstorm Potential**....None.
Waterspout Risk**...........None.
UV Index**..................Very High.
Water Temperature...........In the mid 80s.
Weather.....................Sunny.
High Temperature............Around 90.
Max Heat Index..............Up to 108.
Winds.......................Southeast winds around 10 mph.
Tides...
Miami Harbor Entrance....High at 09:45 AM EDT.
Low at 03:29 PM EDT.
Sunrise.....................7:17 AM.
Sunset......................6:58 PM.
.COLUMBUS DAY...
Rip Current Risk*...........Low.
Surf Height.................1 to 2 feet.
Thunderstorm Potential**....Low.
Waterspout Risk**...........None.
Weather.....................Mostly sunny. A slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
High Temperature............In the upper 80s.
Max Heat Index..............Up to 103.
Winds.......................North winds 5 to 10 mph.
Tides...
Miami Harbor Entrance....High at 10:24 AM EDT.
Low at 04:09 PM EDT.
Sunrise.....................7:18 AM.
Sunset......................6:57 PM.
&&
Rip Current Risk Category
* Low Risk - The risk for rip currents is low, however,
life-threatening rip currents often occur in the vicinity of groins,
jetties, reefs, and piers.
* Moderate Risk - Life-threatening rip currents are possible in the
surf zone.
* High Risk - Life-threatening rip currents are likely in the surf
zone.
** For thunderstorm, waterspout, and UV definitions see:
https://www.weather.gov/beach/mflSatellite and radar
Archived frames show what the instruments captured at their labeled times. Radar echoes can include non-rain returns. No movement or future arrival is inferred automatically from these frames.
Southeast GeoColor satellite
GeoColor shows the Southeast, including Florida. The timestamped sequence below preserves cloud detail without automatically interpreting cloud cover at street level.
Earlier timestamped frames
Detailed Miami radar — official KAMX fallback
Colored reflectivity echoes are concentrated southwest of Miami, west of Miami relative to Miami in the latest frame. These are echo locations, not confirmation of rain at the surface.
Earlier timestamped frames
Regional South Florida radar
Colored reflectivity echoes are concentrated northwest of Miami, north of Miami, west of Miami relative to Miami in the latest frame. These are echo locations, not confirmation of rain at the surface.
Earlier timestamped frames
Tropical outlook
The Atlantic outlook describes development potential, not a forecast of impacts in Miami. No local hurricane impact is inferred here.
Read official source text
000 ABNT20 KNHC 111129 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Oct 11 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Active Systems: The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaias, located near the border of Tennessee and Kentucky. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: An elongated area of low pressure centered a few hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large but disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms extending from these islands southward into the eastern Tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive for some development of this system over the next day or two before upper-level winds become too strong for development by midweek. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall will be possible during the next few days over portions of the Cabo Verde Islands as the system moves slowly northward to north-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin
Miami forecast discussion
Read official source text
000 FXUS62 KMFL 111131 AFDMFL Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 731 AM EDT Sun Oct 11 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 724 AM EDT Sun Oct 11 2026 - Minor coastal flooding will remain possible during periods of high tide across all coastal areas of South Florida through Monday morning. - Apparent temperatures in the low 100s will result in a Major HeatRisk for inland suburbs of South Florida today. Individuals sensitive to heat should exercise caution. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Monday) Issued at 140 AM EDT Sun Oct 11 2026 Pumpkin spice beverages simply won't suffice today as a flashback to summer-like conditions continues across South Florida. Something more tropical would be more appropriate as it would be on brand for the weather outside even as we enter mid October. Temperatures will remain above average (upper 80s) for this time of year, remaining in the low 90s for much of the afternoon hours outside of any convective cooling influences. While high temperature record values for today's date appear to be safe, the combination of dewpoints in the mid to upper 70s, slackening surface winds out of a southerly direction, and a lack of widespread convection will result in heat indices (apparent temperatures) reaching the 100-105F range this afternoon. The prototype Probabilistic HeatRisk depicts a high (70- 90%) chance of Major HeatRisk across inland suburbs of South Florida today with a 100% probability of Moderate HeatRisk at coastal locations. Members of the the public who are sensitive to heat should limit prolonged exposure and take necessary precautions accordingly. As of 06z this morning, our overnight temperatures at coastal locations also remain well above average and close to the daily max minimum temperature for today's date. In large part this is due to a slight onshore component (SSErly) of surface winds, that still primarily remain out of a southerly direction across the region. Near max overnight temperatures and apparent temperatures in the low 100s today will bring little relief from the humidity and above average temperatures that will remain with us for the remainder of the weekend. The vorticity of what was once Isaias has been completely absorbed by a expansive lobe of mid-level troughing over the eastern United States. Pressure falls along a triple point (occluded front, warm front, and cold front) to the south of the Appalachian Mountains signal the development of a forecasted new area of low pressure that will accelerate to the northeast, eventually bringing a frontal boundary into South Florida on Monday. In the meantime however, a plume of deep moisture out ahead of that weak frontal boundary remains in place across much of the Florida Peninsula with precipitable water values well above the 90th percentile for today's date. Aloft, the axis of mid to upper level ridging will briefly build into South Florida today with 500mb temperatures remaining on the warm side, between the 75th-90th percentile. Riveting technical factoids aside, the main item to takeaway from the mid-level ridge enhancement is a pocket of drier air aloft that will push westward into the eastern half of the region today. This already shows up quite nicely this morning on GOES East Mid-Level Water Vapor imagery. The mixing down of the drier air aloft in tandem with meager low and mid-level lapse rates may suppress most shower and thunderstorm activity across the eastern half of the region today. A precipitable water and dewpoint gradient is forecast to materialize across the region today with drier values across the southeastern half of the region and perceptible water values near the daily max across southwestern Florida which will be close in proximity to the frontal boundary. The latest forecast continues to feature the highest rain chances today (60-70%) across inland locales and the Lake Okeechobee region. Convective parameters once again appear lackluster with the main forecast concern remaining isolated swaths of 1-2" of rainfall in short periods of time. As the mid-level trough pushes offshore of the northeastern United States, the stout mid-level ridge in place across the western Atlantic waters will flatten and lose influence over our region by Monday morning. The enhancement of a surface low offshore of the northeastern United States will provide enough forcing for the aforementioned frontal boundary across Central Florida and the Gulf to slowly slide southward across South Florida during the day on Monday. With all of the best dynamics now well removed from the region, convective activity on Monday is forecast to be much more sparse in nature. That being said, maximized ascent and residual moisture along the boundary could still set the stage for some isolated to scattered shower and thunderstorm activity. High temperatures on Monday will rise into the upper 80s along the east coast to the lower 90s across interior portions of Southwest Florida. && .LONG TERM... (Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 140 AM EDT Sun Oct 11 2026 As the boundary slides southward across the region Monday night into early Tuesday, a dry continental airmass will make a long- awaited return to South Florida. While this will not be a "cold" or even "cool" front by any metric (consider keeping the fall gear in the wardrobe for now), the change in the air will certainly be noticeable as we drop from forecasted dewpoints in mid to upper 70s on Monday to dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s on Tuesday. Even more remarkable will be the drop in precipitable water values, deterministic and ensemble guidance suggest a potential of seeing precipitable water values across South Florida below the 10% percentile for this time of year. No significant temperature change is expected behind this front during the daytime hours (forecast highs in the upper 80s to low 90s Tuesday and Wednesday) but a slight drop in overnight temperatures is forecast with the potential of low temperatures in the mid to upper 60s across inland southwestern Florida on Tuesday morning. The advertised reprieve from moisture will be a short lived one as the frontolytic boundary and envelope of associated moisture lift back across the region late Wednesday into Thursday as an expansive area of surface high pressure becomes established across the southeastern United States. Mid-level ridging briefly established across the southeastern United States during the early to mid portion of the work week will quickly flatten by Thursday as the next lobe of troughing slides eastward across the northern United States. As the positively tilted trough amplifies and digs across the eastern United States, a strengthening surface low will strengthen and push eastward in tandem. While this is at the tail end of the extended period, ensemble and deterministic model guidance depict the arrival of a frontal boundary in the vicinity of South Florida late in the work week into the upcoming weekend. Deep tropical moisture in the warm sector out ahead of the boundary could result in higher rain chances towards the end of the work week with drier and cooler weather behind it. For now however, it's still way too early to speculate on exact forecast details. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 724 AM EDT Sun Oct 11 2026 Morning shower activity has mostly dissipated across the eastern metro areas, but a few isolated showers may continue to pop up over the next couple of hours. As sea breezes begin to push inland, shower and storm activity will focus along interior South Florida. Some storm activity is already beginning to pop along the Gulf coast, so have included VCTS for KAPF for the late morning and early afternoon hours. Overall, VFR conditions will persist for all sites. && .MARINE... Issued at 140 AM EDT Sun Oct 11 2026 Light southerly flow across the local waters of South Florida will veer northerly overnight in response to a frontal boundary that will push southwards across South Florida during the day on Monday. Small Craft Exercise Caution (SCEC) conditions could be realized after daybreak on Monday as breezy northerly winds develop behind the boundary. Waves will remain 2-3 feet across the region through Monday afternoon with the caveat that locally higher waves and winds is possible in and around any shower or thunderstorm activity. One or two waterspouts remain possible ahead and along the frontal boundary as it moves southwards across the local waters on Monday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Miami 91 78 90 75 / 20 10 20 0 West Kendall 91 77 90 73 / 20 10 30 0 Opa-Locka 91 78 90 74 / 20 10 20 0 Homestead 91 77 90 74 / 10 10 30 10 Fort Lauderdale 90 77 88 74 / 20 10 20 0 N Ft Lauderdale 91 78 88 74 / 20 10 20 0 Pembroke Pines 91 77 89 73 / 20 10 20 0 West Palm Beach 91 76 87 72 / 40 20 20 0 Boca Raton 90 77 87 73 / 30 10 20 0 Naples 87 75 88 69 / 50 10 10 0 && .MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Hadi LONG TERM....Hadi AVIATION...NMP
Sources and freshness
Supplementary failures do not replace missing data with reassuring conclusions. All source times below are Eastern; source metadata and original downloads are archived with this report.
Alerts · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 11, 2026 · 10:12 AM EDT.
Beach · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 11, 2026 · 10:12 AM EDT. Issued Oct 11, 2026 · 4:26 AM EDT.
Coastal Alerts · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 11, 2026 · 10:12 AM EDT.
Discussion · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 11, 2026 · 10:12 AM EDT. Issued Oct 11, 2026 · 7:31 AM EDT.
Forecast · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 11, 2026 · 10:12 AM EDT. Issued Oct 11, 2026 · 4:31 AM EDT.
Hourly · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 11, 2026 · 10:12 AM EDT. Issued Oct 11, 2026 · 4:31 AM EDT.
Local Radar · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 11, 2026 · 10:12 AM EDT. Issued Oct 11, 2026 · 10:12 AM EDT.
Marine · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 11, 2026 · 10:12 AM EDT. Issued Oct 11, 2026 · 4:01 AM EDT.
Mcnoldy · unavailable
Source. Retrieved Oct 11, 2026 · 10:12 AM EDT. URLError: transport or certificate failure
Nhc · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 11, 2026 · 10:12 AM EDT. Issued Oct 11, 2026 · 7:29 AM EDT.
Observation · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 11, 2026 · 10:12 AM EDT. Issued Oct 11, 2026 · 9:55 AM EDT.
Regional Radar · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 11, 2026 · 10:12 AM EDT. Issued Oct 11, 2026 · 10:09 AM EDT.
Satellite · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 11, 2026 · 10:12 AM EDT. Issued Oct 11, 2026 · 10:06 AM EDT.
Tropical Tidbits · link-only
Source. Retrieved Oct 11, 2026 · 10:12 AM EDT. Optional context only. Imagery is not copied: Tropical Tidbits reserves reuse rights.