Morning Miami Weather Report
Miami, October 14 — Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Automated weather summary from official sources; factual templates with validated source timestamps. Follow NWS Miami and NHC for current guidance.
Forecast for Miami / Brickell
Wednesday: 87°F. Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms. Wind 12 to 16 mph NE. Rain chance: 30%.
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 87. Northeast wind 12 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Overnight: Mostly clear, with a low around 79. Northeast wind around 12 mph.
Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly clear, with a low around 81. East wind 10 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Hourly forecast — rain chances and timing
| Eastern time | Temperature | Rain chance | Wind | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM EDT | 81°F | 11% | 12 mph NE | Mostly Clear |
| Oct 14, 2026 · 6:00 AM EDT | 81°F | 12% | 12 mph NE | Sunny |
| Oct 14, 2026 · 7:00 AM EDT | 80°F | 11% | 12 mph NE | Sunny |
| Oct 14, 2026 · 8:00 AM EDT | 81°F | 14% | 13 mph NE | Sunny |
| Oct 14, 2026 · 9:00 AM EDT | 82°F | 12% | 13 mph NE | Sunny |
| Oct 14, 2026 · 10:00 AM EDT | 84°F | 12% | 14 mph NE | Sunny |
| Oct 14, 2026 · 11:00 AM EDT | 84°F | 18% | 14 mph NE | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 14, 2026 · 12:00 PM EDT | 84°F | 20% | 14 mph NE | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 14, 2026 · 1:00 PM EDT | 84°F | 21% | 15 mph NE | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 14, 2026 · 2:00 PM EDT | 85°F | 20% | 15 mph E | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 14, 2026 · 3:00 PM EDT | 85°F | 23% | 16 mph NE | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 14, 2026 · 4:00 PM EDT | 85°F | 22% | 16 mph NE | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 14, 2026 · 5:00 PM EDT | 86°F | 30% | 16 mph NE | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 14, 2026 · 6:00 PM EDT | 85°F | 26% | 16 mph NE | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 14, 2026 · 7:00 PM EDT | 84°F | 25% | 15 mph NE | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 14, 2026 · 8:00 PM EDT | 84°F | 28% | 14 mph NE | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 14, 2026 · 9:00 PM EDT | 83°F | 31% | 14 mph E | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 14, 2026 · 10:00 PM EDT | 83°F | 33% | 14 mph E | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
Observed nearby
Miami International Airport (KMIA), Oct 14, 2026 · 5:30 AM EDT: Mostly Clear. Temperature 79°F; wind 5 mph. This airport observation does not measure conditions at your exact location in Brickell.
Alerts and outdoor plans
Miami / Brickell: no active alerts returned by the official query at collection time. This is not a statement that conditions are safe.
Biscayne Bay and the Miami-Dade coast: no active alerts returned by the official query at collection time. This is not a statement that conditions are safe.
Running: Use the temperature, rain and wind forecast above to plan your window. If thunderstorms are forecast or you hear thunder, postpone outdoor activity and seek a substantial building. This briefing does not certify a safe running window.
Paddleboarding — official Biscayne Bay forecast
Today: NE winds 10 to 15 kt (17 mph). A moderate chop. A chance of showers. A slight chance of tstms this morning, then a chance of tstms this afternoon.
Tonight: E winds 10 to 15 kt (17 mph). A moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Thu: E winds 5 to 10 kt (12 mph). Light chop. A chance of showers in the afternoon. A chance of tstms late.
Wind speeds in the source use knots (1 knot = 1.151 mph). Check current marine alerts and local conditions before launching; no safe launch window is inferred.
Official coastal Miami-Dade beach and rip-current guidance
FLZ173-142200-
Coastal Miami-Dade-
Including the beaches of Miami
441 AM EDT Wed Oct 14 2026
.TODAY...
Rip Current Risk*...........Low.
Surf Height.................1 to 2 feet.
Thunderstorm Potential**....Low.
Waterspout Risk**...........None.
UV Index**..................High.
Water Temperature...........In the mid 80s.
Weather.....................Sunny. A slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
High Temperature............In the upper 80s.
Winds.......................Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Tides...
Miami Harbor Entrance....High at 11:43 AM EDT.
Low at 05:28 PM EDT.
Sunrise.....................7:19 AM.
Sunset......................6:55 PM.
.THURSDAY...
Rip Current Risk*...........Low.
Surf Height.................1 to 2 feet.
Thunderstorm Potential**....Moderate.
Waterspout Risk**...........None.
Weather.....................Sunny. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
High Temperature............In the upper 80s.
Max Heat Index..............Up to 103.
Winds.......................East winds around 10 mph.
Tides...
Miami Harbor Entrance....High at 12:24 PM EDT.
Sunrise.....................7:19 AM.
Sunset......................6:54 PM.
&&
Rip Current Risk Category
* Low Risk - The risk for rip currents is low, however,
life-threatening rip currents often occur in the vicinity of groins,
jetties, reefs, and piers.
* Moderate Risk - Life-threatening rip currents are possible in the
surf zone.
* High Risk - Life-threatening rip currents are likely in the surf
zone.
** For thunderstorm, waterspout, and UV definitions see:
https://www.weather.gov/beach/mflSatellite and radar
Archived frames show what the instruments captured at their labeled times. Radar echoes can include non-rain returns. No movement or future arrival is inferred automatically from these frames.
Southeast GeoColor satellite
GeoColor shows the Southeast, including Florida. The timestamped sequence below preserves cloud detail without automatically interpreting cloud cover at street level.
Earlier timestamped frames
Detailed Miami radar — official KAMX fallback
Colored reflectivity echoes are concentrated west of Miami, southwest of Miami, southeast of Miami relative to Miami in the latest frame. These are echo locations, not confirmation of rain at the surface.
Earlier timestamped frames
Regional South Florida radar
Colored reflectivity echoes are concentrated east of Miami, southeast of Miami, southwest of Miami relative to Miami in the latest frame. These are echo locations, not confirmation of rain at the surface.
Earlier timestamped frames
Tropical outlook
The Atlantic outlook describes development potential, not a forecast of impacts in Miami. No local hurricane impact is inferred here.
Read official source text
000 ABNT20 KNHC 140517 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Wed Oct 14 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Reinhart
Miami forecast discussion
Read official source text
000 FXUS62 KMFL 140750 AFDMFL Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 350 AM EDT Wed Oct 14 2026 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 310 AM EDT Wed Oct 14 2026 - Moisture gradually returns to the region today, with the potential of a few showers south of Alligator Alley this afternoon. - Afternoon apparent temperatures will increase from the upper 90s today to 100-105F during the afternoon hours of Thursday and Friday. - The evolution of a frontal boundary will dictate our local weather this upcoming weekend. Confidence continues to increase for a forecast of windy and wet conditions for South Florida. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Thursday) Issued at 310 AM EDT Wed Oct 14 2026 Another spectacular edition of fake fall is nearing a untimely conclusion across South Florida this morning as 07z mesoanalysis and GOES East water vapor imagery reveal that moisture is slowly retrograding back into the region as deep-layer ridging remains established to the north of our area. With an elongated mid-level ridge draped across much of the southeastern United States, the synoptic pattern across our region will remain rather benign. As a surface ridge axis gradually slides eastward across the southeastern United States and into the western Atlantic waters today, surface wind flow will begin to veer to more of an easterly direction as a frontolytic boundary over the Florida Keys and an envelope of residual atmospheric moisture retrogrades back into the region. Today still appears to be, very much so a transition day between the current dry airmass in place across South Florida this morning and more substantial moisture advection later in the week. Breezy east-northeasterly flow and increasing moisture will support the potential of afternoon shower activity south of Alligator Alley today, where the best instability and moisture will reside. Activity will remain vertically capped in nature as moisture advection remains confined the the lowest level of the boundary layer with a copious amount of dry air. The latest forecast continues to depict 20-40% rain chances across the southern half of the region this afternoon. Forecast high temperatures range from the upper 80s along the east coast to values in the low 90s across southwestern Florida. Mid-level ridging briefly established across the southeastern United States is forecast to propagate eastward on Thursday as the next lobe of troughing slides eastward across the central United States. For now at least, our weather regime here in South Florida will be primarily influenced by the surface ridge still situated over the western Atlantic waters. Surface winds will gradually veer to an easterly direction by Thursday afternoon as the axis of surface ridging across the southeastern United States pivots further eastward and wanes in strength. Consequently, the established pressure gradient will begin to subside with surface winds remaining light out of an easterly direction. This will focus the best afternoon and evening rain chances across the western half of the peninsula on Thursday. Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms remain possible, although weak lapse rates and warm 500mb temperatures should keep the threat of strong convection to a minimum. High temperatures on Thursday will remain similar to today (upper 80s to low 90s, peak values forecast, however the increase in moisture will result in a return of apparent temperatures back into the 100-105F degree range during the late morning and early afternoon hours. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 310 AM EDT Wed Oct 14 2026 As the positively tilted trough amplifies and digs across the eastern half of the United States, a strengthening surface low will strengthen and push east-northeastward in tandem. A sprawling frontal boundary attached to the low is forecast to push across the southeastern United States on Friday before arriving across the region during the upcoming weekend. As surface ridging slides further to the east, winds across South Florida will begin to veer to a southeasterly component. This will usher in even deeper atmospheric and continue the trend of 1) higher rain chances and 2) higher apparent temperatures. Friday could very well be the warmest day of the week with feels-like temperatures once again reaching the 100-105F range across South Florida. The breakdown of stronger background flow across the region will result in sea-breeze circulations being the driving mechanism of where afternoon convection focuses, which may reside mainly across inland areas and Lake Okeechobee as both sea-breezes converge inland. The placement of the aforementioned frontal boundary in relation to South Florida, surface high pressure axis to the north, and any mesoscale coastal convergence will have a direct influence on potential rainfall totals, wind gusts, and the severity of any marine/coastal impacts across the region during the upcoming weekend into next week. Forecasted precipitable water and low level RH values (via forecast soundings) during this time period appear to approach the daily max for this time of year, indicative of an airmass that is saturated in the low level boundary layer. 500mb temperatures are also forecast to be on the warmer side which may support an expansive warm cloud layer and heavy rainfall. The Weather Prediction Center has placed portions of the east coast of South Florida in a Day 4 and Day 5 Marginal risk of excessive rainfall (Level 1 of 4). In this type of complex weather regime, it is far too early to discuss specific rainfall totals as anchoring bias to specific values could hurt messaging more than help it. The main takeaway is that forecast confidence is increasing that heavy rainfall could occur across portions of South Florida this weekend into early next week. Outside of any heavy rain threat, guidance has also been consistent in showing the enhancement of a pressure gradient across the western Atlantic and South Florida. This would act to increase wind speeds across the area, resulting in gusty conditions and potential marine and coastal impacts. While forecast confidence has increased in a wet and windy weekend, uncertainty as far as timing and impacts remain. Stay tuned for forecast updates as we progress through the remainder of the work week. An increase in wind and rain chances may keep ambient and apparent temperatures lower beginning during the upcoming weekend. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 110 AM EDT Wed Oct 14 2026 Light and variable surface winds will prevail through daybreak before breezy ENErly winds prevail across the region. Isolated SHRA is possible in the vicinity of terminals south of Alligator Alley today but confidence is too low to include VCSH in the TAFs at this time. L/V winds forecast once again overnight with winds quickly lessening in strength after sunset. && .MARINE... Issued at 310 AM EDT Wed Oct 14 2026 Breezy northeasterly winds will prevail across the local waters of South Florida through tonight. Small Craft Exercise Caution (SCEC) conditions could be realized at times across the Atlantic and Gulf waters as winds enhance and lessen with nocturnal/diurnal cycles. Waves will remain 2-3 feet across the region through early Thursday with the caveat that locally higher waves and winds are possible in and around any shower or thunderstorm activity, mainly across our southern waters. While uncertainty remains, forecast confidence continues to increase for the potential of elevated seas and waves across the local waters of South Florida this weekend into early next week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Miami 88 79 89 79 / 20 40 30 20 West Kendall 88 77 90 78 / 30 30 30 10 Opa-Locka 88 78 90 78 / 20 40 40 20 Homestead 87 78 90 78 / 30 40 30 20 Fort Lauderdale 87 78 88 79 / 20 50 50 20 N Ft Lauderdale 88 78 89 79 / 10 50 50 20 Pembroke Pines 88 78 90 78 / 20 40 40 20 West Palm Beach 88 77 89 78 / 10 30 50 20 Boca Raton 88 78 88 78 / 10 40 50 20 Naples 90 74 90 75 / 10 0 60 10 && .MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Hadi LONG TERM....Hadi AVIATION...Hadi
Sources and freshness
Supplementary failures do not replace missing data with reassuring conclusions. All source times below are Eastern; source metadata and original downloads are archived with this report.
Alerts · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 14, 2026 · 5:47 AM EDT.
Beach · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 14, 2026 · 5:47 AM EDT. Issued Oct 14, 2026 · 4:41 AM EDT.
Coastal Alerts · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 14, 2026 · 5:47 AM EDT.
Discussion · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 14, 2026 · 5:47 AM EDT. Issued Oct 14, 2026 · 3:50 AM EDT.
Forecast · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 14, 2026 · 5:47 AM EDT. Issued Oct 14, 2026 · 4:41 AM EDT.
Hourly · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 14, 2026 · 5:47 AM EDT. Issued Oct 14, 2026 · 4:41 AM EDT.
Local Radar · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 14, 2026 · 5:47 AM EDT. Issued Oct 14, 2026 · 5:45 AM EDT.
Marine · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 14, 2026 · 5:47 AM EDT. Issued Oct 14, 2026 · 3:51 AM EDT.
Mcnoldy · unavailable
Source. Retrieved Oct 14, 2026 · 5:47 AM EDT. URLError: transport or certificate failure
Nhc · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 14, 2026 · 5:47 AM EDT. Issued Oct 14, 2026 · 1:17 AM EDT.
Observation · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 14, 2026 · 5:47 AM EDT. Issued Oct 14, 2026 · 5:30 AM EDT.
Regional Radar · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 14, 2026 · 5:47 AM EDT. Issued Oct 14, 2026 · 5:46 AM EDT.
Satellite · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 14, 2026 · 5:47 AM EDT. Issued Oct 14, 2026 · 5:41 AM EDT.
Tropical Tidbits · not-used
Source. Retrieved not retrieved. No current tropical context requiring this supplementary source, or the NHC input is unavailable.