Morning Miami Weather Report
Miami, October 23 — Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Automated weather summary from official sources; factual templates with validated source timestamps. Follow NWS Miami and NHC for current guidance.
Forecast for Miami / Brickell
Today: 82°F. Chance Showers And Thunderstorms. Wind 13 to 17 mph NE. Rain chance: 44%.
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. Northeast wind 13 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 3am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. Northeast wind around 18 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Hourly forecast — rain chances and timing
| Eastern time | Temperature | Rain chance | Wind | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 · 8:00 AM EDT | 75°F | 33% | 14 mph N | Chance Rain Showers |
| Oct 23, 2026 · 9:00 AM EDT | 75°F | 43% | 13 mph NE | Chance Rain Showers |
| Oct 23, 2026 · 10:00 AM EDT | 78°F | 44% | 13 mph NE | Chance Rain Showers |
| Oct 23, 2026 · 11:00 AM EDT | 79°F | 42% | 13 mph NE | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 23, 2026 · 12:00 PM EDT | 80°F | 29% | 14 mph NE | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 23, 2026 · 1:00 PM EDT | 80°F | 23% | 16 mph NE | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 23, 2026 · 2:00 PM EDT | 80°F | 40% | 16 mph NE | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 23, 2026 · 3:00 PM EDT | 80°F | 39% | 17 mph NE | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 23, 2026 · 4:00 PM EDT | 81°F | 34% | 17 mph NE | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 23, 2026 · 5:00 PM EDT | 80°F | 35% | 17 mph NE | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 23, 2026 · 6:00 PM EDT | 80°F | 35% | 18 mph NE | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 23, 2026 · 7:00 PM EDT | 79°F | 35% | 18 mph NE | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 23, 2026 · 8:00 PM EDT | 77°F | 35% | 17 mph NE | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 23, 2026 · 9:00 PM EDT | 77°F | 32% | 17 mph NE | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 23, 2026 · 10:00 PM EDT | 77°F | 34% | 18 mph NE | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| Oct 23, 2026 · 11:00 PM EDT | 77°F | 36% | 17 mph NE | Chance Rain Showers |
Observed nearby
Miami International Airport (KMIA), Oct 23, 2026 · 8:25 AM EDT: Partly Cloudy. Temperature 72°F; wind 0 mph. This airport observation does not measure conditions at your exact location in Brickell.
Alerts and outdoor plans
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.
Running: Use the temperature, rain and wind forecast above to plan your window. If thunderstorms are forecast or you hear thunder, postpone outdoor activity and seek a substantial building. This briefing does not certify a safe running window.
Paddleboarding — official Biscayne Bay forecast
Today: NE winds 10 to 15 kt (17 mph), increasing to 15 to 20 kt (23 mph) this afternoon. Choppy. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms late this morning and afternoon.
Tonight: NE winds 15 to 20 kt (23 mph) with gusts up to 25 kt (29 mph). Choppy. A chance of tstms early in the evening. A chance of showers until early morning.
Sat: NE winds 15 to 20 kt (23 mph) with gusts up to 25 kt (29 mph). Choppy.
Wind speeds in the source use knots (1 knot = 1.151 mph). Check current marine alerts and local conditions before launching; no safe launch window is inferred.
Official coastal Miami-Dade beach and rip-current guidance
FLZ173-232100-
Coastal Miami-Dade-
Including the beaches of Miami
346 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2026
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...
.TODAY...
Rip Current Risk*...........High.
Surf Height.................2 to 3 feet.
Thunderstorm Potential**....Moderate.
Waterspout Risk**...........None.
UV Index**..................High.
Water Temperature...........Around 80.
Weather.....................Mostly sunny. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
High Temperature............In the lower 80s.
Winds.......................Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Tides...
Miami Harbor Entrance....High at 07:00 AM EDT.
Low at 12:48 PM EDT.
Sunrise.....................7:23 AM.
Sunset......................6:47 PM.
.SATURDAY...
Rip Current Risk*...........High.
Surf Height.................2 to 3 feet.
Thunderstorm Potential**....Low.
Waterspout Risk**...........None.
Weather.....................Mostly sunny. A chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms.
High Temperature............In the lower 80s.
Winds.......................Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
Tides...
Miami Harbor Entrance....High at 07:47 AM EDT.
Low at 01:32 PM EDT.
Sunrise.....................7:24 AM.
Sunset......................6:46 PM.
&&
Rip Current Risk Category
* Low Risk - The risk for rip currents is low, however,
life-threatening rip currents often occur in the vicinity of groins,
jetties, reefs, and piers.
* Moderate Risk - Life-threatening rip currents are possible in the
surf zone.
* High Risk - Life-threatening rip currents are likely in the surf
zone.
** For thunderstorm, waterspout, and UV definitions see:
https://www.weather.gov/beach/mflSatellite and radar
Archived frames show what the instruments captured at their labeled times. Radar echoes can include non-rain returns. No movement or future arrival is inferred automatically from these frames.
Southeast GeoColor satellite
GeoColor shows the Southeast, including Florida. The timestamped sequence below preserves cloud detail without automatically interpreting cloud cover at street level.
Earlier timestamped frames
Detailed Miami radar — official KAMX fallback
Colored reflectivity echoes are concentrated southwest of Miami, northeast of Miami, south of Miami relative to Miami in the latest frame. These are echo locations, not confirmation of rain at the surface.
Earlier timestamped frames
Regional South Florida radar
Colored reflectivity echoes are concentrated south of Miami relative to Miami in the latest frame. These are echo locations, not confirmation of rain at the surface.
Earlier timestamped frames
Tropical outlook
The Atlantic outlook describes development potential, not a forecast of impacts in Miami. No local hurricane impact is inferred here.
Read official source text
000 ABNT20 KNHC 231114 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Beven
Miami forecast discussion
Read official source text
000
FXUS62 KMFL 231153
AFDMFL
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
753 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 743 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2026
- Moderate coastal flooding is expected with each high tide
cycle. Major coastal flooding is possible late this weekend
into early next week.
- Heavy rain and isolated flash flooding is possible across the
east coast metros Sunday through Monday.
- Strong winds, with gusts over 35 mph are possible Sunday
through Monday.
- Dangerous marine and beach conditions are expected through
early next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 318 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2026
Coastal showers along the Atlantic waters will continue to be a
nuisance through the early morning hours as coastal convergence
continues to set up along the more unstable Gulf Stream. Mid
level water vapor imagery and the recent MFL upper air sounding
indicate that there is quite a bit of dry air above 700 mb, so
most convection will remain very weak and low topped. The better
moisture content looks to be further east along a weak inverted
surface trough in the Bahamas. But low level lapse rates of 7
C/Km and limited instability of around 1000 J/kg should continue
to support isolated to scattered showers moving onshore. PoPs
along the Atlantic waters and adjacent coastal zones will be
between 50% and 60% through the afternoon. More inland, chances
for showers will be isolated, at around 30% for the eastern metro
areas and less than 20% for interior portions of South Florida.
With showers pinned along the coast, a few areas may see up to an
inch of rain. However, the drier air and subsidence aloft should
keep most activity pretty weak. With precipitable water values
near climatology, chances of seeing greater than an inch are only
about 30% for South Florida. Therefore, the risk of urban flooding
will be very low (at least related to precipitation, keep reading
for more info on the King Tides).
Aloft, most of the eastern CONUS finds itself in deep longwave
troughing, with a couple of embedded shortwave vorticity maxima
moving southeast into the Atlantic. Meanwhile at the surface, strong
high pressure centered over New England will continue to tighten
the pressure gradient along the eastern seaboard. This will result
in strengthening winds through the weekend from the northeast.
Winds will generally be 10 to 15 mph, with gusts up to 25 mph.
While these winds won't be quite impactful yet, they will serve to
enhance onshore flow along the Atlantic coast, which when paired
with increased swell and wave activity may help increase the risk
of urban tidal flooding along metro Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach
during the peak King Tides.
On Saturday, the base of the mid-level trough swings across the
peninsula, bringing along with it a swath of vorticity through the
region. However, the better dynamics for thunderstorms will remain
offshore over the Atlantic where there is better divergence aloft.
Another player on Saturday will be the evolution of a shortwave
trough digging south from the Carolinas and into the Florida coast.
Some ensembles are starting to come into agreement in showing a cut
off low developing off of the Space Coast on Saturday. There is a
lot of uncertainty at this moment regarding the timing of this
feature and how far south it may travel into our region. For now,
PoPs for Saturday afternoon remain low across most of South Florida
(less than 20%) outside of the immediate Atlantic coast where
coastal convergence storms keep chances higher. HREF ensembles LPMMs
keep all the heaviest precipitation offshore and to the north
through Saturday evening, with solutions only showing about 0.5 to 1
inch of rain at most.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 318 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2026
There is increasing confidence in greater chances of precipitation
on Saturday evening into Sunday morning. Increased moisture will
surge into the region as the mid level Atlantic trough or cut off
low continues to dig south into the western Atlantic. Some solutions
display this system stalling as far south as Cuba, with a stationary
frontal boundary at the surface draped across South Florida.
However, precipitable water values don't seem all too impressive,
with values climbing up to around 1.6 to 1.7 inches, which is
between the mean and 75th percentile for this time of year. So while
chances of precipitation will be high, between 85% and 95% for
the Atlantic waters and coastal Atlantic areas, QPF continues to
trend down among guidance. Ensemble QPF clusters vary both
spatially and temporally due to the uncertainty regarding the
upper low feature. Some solutions keep the highest QPF offshore,
while others bring it onshore but north of South Florida. One
scenario brings a swath of heavier precipitation along the eastern
metro areas, between 2 to 3 inches through Monday. Model
soundings indicate that conditions will be favorable for coastal
convergence storms to be pinned along the coast, with brisk
northeasterly flow at the surface nearly opposite to the strong
westerly to southwesterly flow in the 700 mb and 500 mb heights.
So, if several storms were to be pinned along the coast for
several hours, localized urban flooding for low lying and poor
drainage areas may be possible. However, chances of widespread
amounts of greater than 2 inches are only at around 45%, with
highest rain amounts likely staying over the waters.
Strong northeast winds will persist through Monday and some
locations near the coast will be flirting with Wind Advisory
conditions. Broken tree branches and loose objects may be flung
about in winds between 25 to 35 mph. One thing to keep in mind
for this weekend is the combination of the King Tide with heavy
rain and increased onshore flow. All these factors together may
raise tide and water levels into the moderate flood category for
coastal urban areas along Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach. Roadways
and low lying areas may be flooded for several hours, especially
if the high tide coincides with heavy rainfall. Remember, turn
around, don't drown. Never drive, walk, or wade, over flooded
areas.
Surface high pressure over the northeast will keep the tight
pressure gradient along the eastern seaboard through the middle of
the week. This will allow for breezy winds and coastal showers to
continue through at least Wednesday. Chances of precipitation drop
to around 40% for eastern parts of South Florida through the end of
the week as mid-level ridging begins to build over the Gulf and
slide over Florida.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 743 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2026
Mainly VFR conditions through much of the forecast period across
all South Florida terminals except for brief spurts of MVFR
within any occurring SHRA. NNW winds this morning across east
coast terminals will become breezy NNE winds by 13-14Z with gusts
of around 20 kts this afternoon. Keeping VCSH for all east coast
terminals this morning and introducing VCTS at 16Z, though overall
confidence for thunder is low. Breezy NE winds at KAPF with
possibility for SHRA late this afternoon.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 318 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2026
Hazardous marine conditions will continue through the beginning of
next week, with conditions progressively worsening over the weekend.
Northeasterly winds will increase into the 20 to 25 kt range for
both the Atlantic and Gulf waters on Friday afternoon and Saturday.
Widespread Small Craft Advisory conditions will be common across all
waters through Sunday, but a swath of stronger winds on Sunday
evening may lead to a few hours of Gale force gusts along the
Atlantic. Probabilities of exceeding 30 kt winds climbs to around
45% on Sunday afternoon. Seas are currently forecast to peak
around 6-9 feet in the Gulf and 10-14 feet across the Atlantic
waters Sunday night into Monday. High seas and breezy conditions
will persist through at least the middle of the week, before
conditions finally start to relax on Wednesday.
&&
.BEACHES...
Issued at 318 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2026
A high risk of rip currents will persist for all Atlantic beaches
through at least the middle of next week. Surf heights up to 6 feet
may be possible though Saturday for the Palm Beaches. On Sunday,
dangerous surf heights of 10 to 12 feet may be possible for the
northern Palm Beach area. Strong onshore wind flow and high seas may
combine with King Tides to increase the threat of coastal flooding
along the Atlantic through the weekend. Dangerous surf conditions
will persist through the middle of the week. See the hydrology
section below for a discussion on the upcoming King Tide cycle as
well.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 408 PM EDT Thu Oct 22 2026
Tied with, if not edging out, the expected impacts from heavy rain
is the threat for moderate or higher coastal flooding as we draw
closer to the peak of this King Tide cycle. Not only will we reach
the peak of the cycle Sunday into Monday, but it is also expected to
be the peak King Tide of the season as well. Unfortunately this peak
also comes at the time of greatest onshore winds and heavy rain
potential. Both of these factors are expected to increase the
impacts of the saltwater flooding, either from impeding drainage of
heavy rain or adding a surge component to the peak tides. It is
within the ensemble envelope that Major category flooding will occur
along the immediate coast, and even if the gauges don't quite reach
Major level, it's possible the impacts would be the same if
freshwater flooding is adding to the saltwater flooding. All
sensitive locations down the east coast should be preparing for the
highest tidal impacts of the season.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami 83 72 84 72 / 40 30 20 30
West Kendall 84 70 85 71 / 30 20 10 10
Opa-Locka 84 71 84 71 / 40 20 30 30
Homestead 84 70 84 71 / 30 30 20 20
Fort Lauderdale 82 72 83 72 / 50 30 40 50
N Ft Lauderdale 83 72 83 73 / 50 20 40 50
Pembroke Pines 84 70 84 70 / 40 20 30 40
West Palm Beach 82 72 83 72 / 40 20 30 60
Boca Raton 82 72 83 72 / 50 20 40 60
Naples 84 66 84 68 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Coastal Flood Advisory until 8 PM EDT Saturday for FLZ168-172-
173.
High Rip Current Risk through Saturday evening for FLZ168-172-
173.
High Surf Advisory until 8 AM EDT Saturday for FLZ168.
AM...Small Craft Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 11 PM EDT
Saturday for AMZ630.
Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Sunday for AMZ650-651-670-
671.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 8 PM EDT Sunday
for GMZ656-657-676.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...NMP
LONG TERM....NMP
AVIATION...AD
Sources and freshness
Supplementary failures do not replace missing data with reassuring conclusions. All source times below are Eastern; source metadata and original downloads are archived with this report.
Alerts · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 23, 2026 · 8:50 AM EDT.
Beach · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 23, 2026 · 8:50 AM EDT. Issued Oct 23, 2026 · 3:46 AM EDT.
Coastal Alerts · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 23, 2026 · 8:50 AM EDT.
Discussion · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 23, 2026 · 8:50 AM EDT. Issued Oct 23, 2026 · 7:53 AM EDT.
Forecast · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 23, 2026 · 8:50 AM EDT. Issued Oct 23, 2026 · 4:02 AM EDT.
Hourly · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 23, 2026 · 8:50 AM EDT. Issued Oct 23, 2026 · 4:02 AM EDT.
Local Radar · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 23, 2026 · 8:50 AM EDT. Issued Oct 23, 2026 · 8:47 AM EDT.
Marine · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 23, 2026 · 8:50 AM EDT. Issued Oct 23, 2026 · 3:51 AM EDT.
Mcnoldy · unavailable
Source. Retrieved Oct 23, 2026 · 8:50 AM EDT. URLError: transport or certificate failure
Nhc · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 23, 2026 · 8:50 AM EDT. Issued Oct 23, 2026 · 7:14 AM EDT.
Observation · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 23, 2026 · 8:50 AM EDT. Issued Oct 23, 2026 · 8:25 AM EDT.
Regional Radar · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 23, 2026 · 8:50 AM EDT. Issued Oct 23, 2026 · 8:48 AM EDT.
Satellite · available
Source. Retrieved Oct 23, 2026 · 8:50 AM EDT. Issued Oct 23, 2026 · 8:41 AM EDT.
Tropical Tidbits · not-used
Source. Retrieved not retrieved. No current tropical context requiring this supplementary source, or the NHC input is unavailable.